Markets are complex. They aggregate millions of individual decisions, each responding to an economic environment that is wickedly complicated. People, by contrast, seek simplicity. We search for patterns, and insist that life is made up of stories with beginnings, middles and ends. We often see patterns that are not even there.
市場是復雜的。它們匯集了無數的個人決策，每個決策都是對極端復雜的經濟環境做出的回應。相比之下，人們喜歡追求簡單化。我們在尋找模式，并堅信生活是由開頭、劇中和結局的敘事構成的。我們經常找出一些甚至根本不存在的模式。
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