“Did you know that Indonesia is at a crossroads? It is!” So said Homer Simpson, flipping vacuously through the Economist. But this is no joke: a ban on exports of unprocessed ore in January really could put Indonesia’s economy in a tricky place. The ban, aimed at building a local processing industry, is a bad idea when foreign investors are already getting spooked. The rupiah fell by a fifth against the US dollar in 2013. And the Federal Reserve is tapering.
“你知道印尼正處于一個十字路口嗎?事實確實如此!”荷馬?辛普森(Homer Simpson)漫不經心地翻看著《經濟學人》(Economist)說道。但這并非玩笑:印尼自明年1月起禁止出口未經加工的鐵礦石,很有可能讓該國經濟陷入艱難境地。在外國投資者本已驚慌之際,印尼試圖依靠禁止出口發展國內冶煉業是一個糟糕的想法。2013年,印尼盧比兌美元匯率下跌20%,而美聯儲(Fed)正在逐步退出量化寬松政策。