Will China have a banking crisis? Beijing's massive credit stimulus will almost certainly lead to a future surge in bad loans, but so what? As the more optimistic of China analysts have pointed out many times, the last jump in non-performing loans a decade ago was also widely cited as a sign of impending doom, and yet nothing happened. China grew its way out of the loan mess at little apparent cost.
中國會(huì)出現(xiàn)一場(chǎng)銀行業(yè)危機(jī)嗎?幾乎可以確定,中國政府龐大的信貸刺激計(jì)劃必將導(dǎo)致未來不良貸款飆升,但那又如何?在關(guān)注中國的分析師中,較為樂觀的那些人已多次指出,10年前的上一次不良貸款激增,也曾被普遍視為厄運(yùn)即將降臨的信號(hào),但后來什么也沒有發(fā)生。中國逐漸擺脫了貸款困局,而且看起來沒有付出多大代價(jià)。
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